I scanned the RealClear's Election 2016 Presidential Polls site to see what the election would look like if the polls where between Clinton (D),Trump (R), Johnson (LIB) and Stein (Green).
The General Election polls the Commission on Presidential Debates (CPD) will use to determine who gets on the podium, candidate will need minimum of 15% average of those organizations' most recent publicly-reported results at the time of the determination, are:
- ABC-Washington Post
- CBS-New York Times
- CNN-Opinion Research Corporation
- Fox News
- NBC-Wall Street Journal
They will be applied in mid-September, 2016. If a candidate is invited to the first Presidential debate, that person's Vice Presidential running mate will be invited to the Vice Presidential debate. The criteria will be reapplied between the first and second Presidential debates and the second and third Presidential debates.
From July 29 - August 4, the avg. is: Clinton 44%, Trump 36%, Johnson 10%, and Stein 5%.
The current numbers of all polls are:
Friday, August 26
General Election (Gravis) - Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 12%
Florida (Mason-Dixon) - Clinton 44%, Trump 42%, Johnson 6%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 6%
Thursday, August 25
General Election (Quinnipiac) - Clinton 45%, Trump 38%, Johnson 10%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 3%
General Election (Rasmussen Reports) - Clinton 42%, Trump 38%, Johnson 9%, Stein 2%, Other/Undecided 9%
General Election (Reuters/Ipsos) - Clinton 39%, Trump 36%, Johnson 7%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 15%
Michigan (Suffolk University) - Clinton 44%, Trump 37%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 11%
Wednesday, August 24
General Election (Economist/YouGov) - Clinton 42%, Trump 38%, Johnson 6%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 10%
Arizona (CNN/ORC) - Trump 45%, Clinton 38%, Johnson 12%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 1%
New Mexico (PPP) - Clinton 40%, Trump 31%, Johnson 16%, Stein 4%, Other/Undecided 9%
Tuesday, August 23
General Election (NBC News/SM) - Clinton 43%, Trump 38%, Johnson 11%, Stein 5%, Other/Undecided 3%
Virginia (Roanoke College) - Clinton 48%, Trump 32%, Johnson 8%, Stein 3%, Other/Undecided 9%
Utah (PPP) - Trump 39%, Clinton 24%, Johnson 12%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 24%
Monday, August 22
Ohio (Monmouth) - Clinton 43%, Trump 39%, Johnson 10%, Stein 1%, Other/Undecided 7%
Between July 12 - August 28, the highest Percent for the Candidates General and State are:
Clinton - 50%
Trump - 52%
Johnson - 16%
Stein - 7%
NYC Wins When Everyone Can Vote! Michael H. Drucker
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